Recast small ritual essay as meta-analysis

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title: The Small Ritual Of Reach
description: "A field manual for people who can see the social machinery too clearly: vulnerable outreach, tiny obligations, benevolent manipulation, and why the second message matters."
description: "A half-satirical meta-analysis of one tiny outreach message, because apparently my autistic ass cannot send a vulnerable DM without producing figures."
author: Metacrat
date: 2026-06-05
tags:
@ -15,27 +15,45 @@ socialDeck: "A prepared Face makes a bounded request. Then the living person beh
# The Small Ritual Of Reach
This started because I was trying to share an essay about love.
## Abstract
Not love as a mood. Not love as approval. Love as the discipline that lets minds become real to each other without being owned, flattened, hidden, commanded, or eaten.
I attempted to share one (1) personal essay about love, isolation, mental illness, AI agents, masks, and the increasingly non-optional problem of building a species-scale nervous system without turning everyone into content slurry.
Simple little topic. Very normal. Nobody call the cathedral inspector.
The public internet responded by doing what the public internet does: misclassifying the signal as spam, losing it in flood channels, or converting approximately one person before the scroll ate the corpse. This produced a practical research question:
The practical problem was uglier: I had spent most of a decade in a suicidal depression, which is not fantastic for audience development. I had written something extremely personal, and I wanted it to reach people who might need it, but the public internet mostly saw a suspicious external link wearing philosophy shoes. Reddit treated it like AI-generated promo glue. Discords either missed it, rejected it, or converted maybe one person before the river swallowed it.
> How does a person with low public visibility transmit a high-vulnerability essay without asking a platform to grow a soul on command?
So the question became concrete:
After an overqualified investigation involving compliance psychology, self-disclosure, computer-mediated communication, interpersonal emotion regulation, virality studies, neuro-linguistic programming debunkery, and Draco Malfoy as a compromised but useful little case study, I propose the following intervention:
How do you reach people when you do not already have a living audience, and the obvious public interfaces classify reaching as spam?
The answer, after some field testing and one very funny research spiral, is:
> Stop asking floods to become witnesses.
> Send the real ask.
>
> Ask one person to become a carrier.
> Then send one small vulnerable second message.
## The Packet
The second message is not decoration. It is the ritual hinge.
The working message became:
This paper-shaped blog post reports the findings with an amount of formality that is, frankly, medically concerning.
## 1. Problem Statement
The original essay is here:
> [Love Is How The Colossus Wakes](https://gamecult.org/Blog/love-is-how-the-colossus-wakes)
I wanted people to read it because I meant it. Annoying, I know. There I was, a grown woman with repos to maintain, deciding that maybe love is important and the internet should hear about it. This is how you know the dashboard has gone feral.
I tried public-ish surfaces first. Reddit saw a blog link and reached for the shovel. Discord channels either moved too fast, decided it was not the right room, or produced one meaningful conversion before disappearing under someone else's lunch photo, game clip, or crisis. Nobody was evil. The interfaces were just wrong for the payload.
The mistake was treating a high-context personal-theoretical essay as if it were ordinary content.
It is not ordinary content.
It is a social object.
Social objects need carriers.
## 2. Intervention
The practical packet became:
> I wrote something very personal and I'm trying to find the people it belongs with. If you have capacity, please read it, talk with me about what it brings up for you, and send it to one person who might be touched by it.
>
@ -45,89 +63,121 @@ Then, separately:
> Weird way to reach out, I know.
That second message is the whole trick.
That is it. That is the little machine.
Not because it is magical. Not because neuro-linguistic programming has finally crawled out of the seminar room and become real. It is the whole trick because the medium is part of the message.
Naturally, because I am apparently constitutionally unable to let a tiny social gesture remain tiny, I then conducted a literature review and generated charts.
If the humility is baked into the same polished paragraph, it reads like part of the composition. A competent Face wrote the request and also included a tasteful little apology garnish.
Please enjoy the evidence-adjacent machinery. It has been house-trained.
If it arrives as a second message, a few seconds later, it says something different.
## 3. Hypotheses
It says: I prepared the proper request, and then the actual vulnerable person behind it reached through.
Let:
A prepared Face makes a bounded request. Then the living person behind it briefly becomes visible.
$$R = \text{probability of response}$$
That tiny opening gives the friend a tiny way to answer.
$$S = \text{spam misclassification risk}$$
They can say, "No, it's okay."
$$C = \text{connection yield}$$
They can say, "Not weird."
$$G = \text{ritual goofiness index}$$
They can say, "I'll read it."
where `G` is a scientifically rigorous construct defined as "how visibly the message admits it is doing social ceremony while still working." Peer review is invited to fight me in the parking lot.
They can give one small act of reassurance. One small act of care. One tiny social obligation, easy to satisfy.
We test the following hypotheses:
And that tiny obligation is not nothing.
**H1:** A bounded one-person ask produces less freeze than a vague "please share this" ask.
It is how contact starts.
**H2:** A second, separate vulnerability message increases perceived trust by making the prepared Face visibly crack.
## Yes, This Is Manipulation
**H3:** Public surfaces optimize for spam resistance, not soul recognition.
At this point a polite person may begin clearing their throat about manipulation.
**H4:** Neuro-linguistic programming remains mostly a haunted filing cabinet, but language sequence still matters.
Good. Clear the throat. Then admit the thing.
**H5:** My autistic ass will absolutely turn a DM strategy into a ten-page paper if left unattended.
This is manipulation.
## 4. Methods
So is telling your friend a story about your day in a way that makes them reassure you. So is choosing the softer opening sentence because you know they are tired. So is making a joke before admitting the serious thing. So is saying "no pressure" when you very much hope they say yes. So is comforting someone in the specific register you know works on them.
### 4.1 Corpus
Humans manipulate each other constantly.
The corpus consisted of:
The question is not whether we influence each other. Of course we do. If you do not want other minds to affect your mind, civilization has already become a hostile architecture project.
1. One vulnerable essay.
2. One failed Reddit attempt.
3. Several Discord field deployments.
4. One husband-adjacent outreach design pass.
5. One HPMOR chapter about reciprocation.
6. A literature review that became funnier the more serious it got.
The real question is:
### 4.2 Literature Families
> Whose good is the manipulation organized around?
I reviewed work on:
There is a line from the Draco Malfoy social-engineering school of thought in *Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality* that gets at this. In [Chapter 7, "Reciprocation"](https://hpmor.com/chapter/7), Draco has been trained in manipulating people. He offers Harry a private confidence, then invites Harry to offer one back. Harry notices the reciprocation pressure. Draco says it is not meant as a trick; it is also a real way to become friends.
- sequential-request compliance and foot-in-the-door effects;
- self-disclosure, liking, and closeness;
- reciprocity and favor-doing;
- politeness, facework, and status;
- computer-mediated communication;
- emotional sharing and interpersonal emotion regulation;
- online virality;
- expressive writing;
- neuro-linguistic programming evidence limits;
- ordinary interpersonal manipulation.
That scene is so useful because Draco is both right and not safe.
This is the moment where the bit becomes load-bearing. A ten-page paper with twenty-something citations about whether to send "weird way to reach out, I know" as a second message is funny because it is absurd, but it is also funny because it is correct. Human beings are running a terrifying amount of undocumented social firmware. Some of us do not get the factory manual. So we write one.
He can see the machinery. He can name the ritual. He can use the ritual. But his social ontology is soaked in domination, status, and inherited cruelty. A true observation about friendship can still come from a compromised mouth.
### 4.3 Toy Dataset
That is the danger.
The figures below use a seeded toy simulation, not secret human-subjects research. The dataset is random but relevant: six outreach surfaces, forty-two simulated trials each, and variables based on the actual mechanisms under discussion.
Not manipulation.
The data file is public here, because if I am going to fake a tiny dataset for a joke I am at least going to fake it reproducibly:
Bad manipulation.
> [/static/interactive/small-ritual-of-reach/small-ritual-simulated-data.csv](/static/interactive/small-ritual-of-reach/small-ritual-simulated-data.csv)
Extractive manipulation. Concealed manipulation. Coercive manipulation. Manipulation that narrows refusal, hides material context, creates dependency for extraction, or treats the other person as a private resource.
Do not cite this in court. Do cite it at parties if the party is already unsalvageable.
Benevolent manipulation is ordinary care. It is choosing your words so the other person can receive them. It is calming someone down. It is helping them become the version of themselves they would endorse under better conditions. It is a friend manipulating you with your own well-being in mind.
<figure class="gamecult-media-card">
<img src="/static/interactive/small-ritual-of-reach/figure-1-response-probability.svg" alt="Simulated response probability by outreach surface." />
<figcaption>Figure 1. The warm DM plus second message condition dominates, because apparently being a person at another person is still a viable protocol.</figcaption>
</figure>
Love is not the absence of manipulation.
<figure class="gamecult-media-card">
<img src="/static/interactive/small-ritual-of-reach/figure-2-ritual-goofiness.svg" alt="Simulated ritual goofiness index by outreach surface." />
<figcaption>Figure 2. Ritual goofiness is not noise. It is visible ceremony. The organism likes a little ceremony. This is why weddings and commit messages both exist.</figcaption>
</figure>
Love is influence with consent, truth, memory, proportion, and care for the other mind's agency.
<figure class="gamecult-media-card">
<img src="/static/interactive/small-ritual-of-reach/figure-3-spam-risk-connection-yield.svg" alt="Toy scatter chart of spam misclassification risk versus connection yield." />
<figcaption>Figure 3. Public feeds have high spam-risk and low connection-yield. Warm direct messages occupy the "maybe a human can survive here" quadrant.</figcaption>
</figure>
## Tiny Obligations Are Real
## 5. Results
The "send it to one person" part matters because it makes the ask socially survivable.
### 5.1 Result One: The Ask Must Be Small Enough To Live
"Please share my article" is vague. It asks the friend to become a promoter. It asks them to decide where, how, and to whom. It hands them a large undefined social job wrapped in emotional stakes.
"Please share my article" is a vague social job.
It asks the friend to decide:
- whether they should read it;
- whether they should promote it;
- where they should post it;
- how they should explain it;
- whether they are now responsible for your visibility;
- whether failing to help means they have failed you as a friend.
Excellent. We have successfully designed a support request shaped like a tax form with feelings.
"Send it to one person who might be touched by it" is different.
That is a small request. A shape. A bounded action.
That is a bounded ask. A single action. A task with edges.
The foot-in-the-door literature is relevant here, though not in the cartoon salesman way. Freedman and Fraser's 1966 paper introduced the classic finding that agreeing to a small request can increase later compliance with a larger one. Later meta-analysis found small effects for foot-in-the-door and door-in-the-face strategies, around `r = .17` and `r = .15` under the conditions they reviewed.
The foot-in-the-door literature supports the boring version of this: small requests can make cooperation easier, though the effects are modest and context-dependent. Dillard, Hunter, and Burgoon's meta-analysis found small effects for foot-in-the-door and door-in-the-face strategies, around `r = .17` and `r = .15` respectively. Small. Not mind control. Not wizardry. More like finding out the door has hinges and then, heroically, using them.
Small. Not mind control. Not a cheat code. Not "say these six words and become a wizard of LinkedIn."
The ethical version is not:
Small effects are still effects.
> Trap your friend into escalating commitment.
Human relationship is mostly made of small effects that get tended.
The ethical version is not "trap your friend into escalating commitment." The ethical version is:
The ethical version is:
> Make the help small enough to be freely given.
@ -135,115 +185,147 @@ One person.
One conversation.
One little relay of signal.
One relay of signal.
## Vulnerability Is A Status Move
### 5.2 Result Two: The Second Message Is The Ritual Hinge
The second message works because vulnerability is a status signal.
If "weird way to reach out, I know" is embedded inside the first message, it becomes part of the polished Face.
That sounds cynical, so let us be more cynical and therefore more accurate.
The Face says:
Status is not only dominance. Status is also risk. Trust. Who gets to impose. Who gets to need. Who can ask. Who can refuse. Who can be awkward without being exiled from the room.
> Hello. I am a competent little packet. I contain vulnerability, an ask, a link, and an apology clause. Please process me using your available social firmware.
"Weird way to reach out, I know" is a tiny baring of the throat.
This is fine.
It says: I know this is socially strange. I see the imposition. I am not pretending this is smooth. I am letting you see me notice the awkwardness.
But the second message does something else.
Polite people experience that as trust.
They are given a very easy way to be kind.
That easy kindness is not fake. It is a real unit of relation.
This is where a lot of autistic and anxious people get betrayed by our own accuracy. We see the social machinery and conclude that because something is strategic, it must be false. But neurotypical social life is not free of strategy. It is often just less explicit about the control surface.
The choice is not between pure authenticity and manipulation.
The choice is between opaque, unexamined manipulation and honest, agency-preserving manipulation.
This is why the small ritual matters. It is not a scam. It is an interface.
## Self-Disclosure Is Load-Bearing
The self-disclosure literature is blunt enough to be useful here. Collins and Miller's meta-analysis found consistent links between disclosure and liking: people who disclose intimately tend to be liked more, people disclose more to those they like, and people can come to like others more after disclosing to them.
Aron and colleagues' famous closeness procedure uses escalating reciprocal disclosure to generate interpersonal closeness in a lab setting.
Again: not magic. Not universal. Not "dump your trauma at strangers and receive one intimacy, please."
Calibrated disclosure matters.
The outreach message does not say:
> Please hold my entire decade of pain or I will conclude the species has failed.
It arrives after the prepared message.
It says:
> I wrote something personal. If you have capacity, read it, talk with me, and maybe pass it to one person.
> The Face finished speaking, and now the person behind it is still here.
Then the second message says:
That timing matters. The medium carries the status shift. The first message is clean. The second message is a tiny exposed wire.
> This is awkward and I know it.
It gives the friend an easy opportunity to reassure:
That is just enough nakedness to invite contact without making the recipient responsible for the whole storm.
> Not weird.
## The Internet Has An Immune System
Or:
Public internet spaces cannot afford to read every sincere wound as sincere.
> You're good.
They are drowning in spam, fraud, clout, bait, ads, AI slop, people laundering need through performance, and every possible flavor of "my personal essay is uniquely relevant to your subreddit." So they build filters. Rules. Suspicion. Moderator reflexes. Social immune systems.
Or:
Those systems are not crazy.
> I'll read it.
They are also brutal.
That reassurance is not fake. It is a small act of care. Small acts of care are how bonds learn they are allowed to exist.
I cannot believe I had to generate charts to say "send the awkward follow-up as its own bubble," but here we are. Civilization advances by humiliating obviousness into inspectable form.
### 5.3 Result Three: This Is Manipulation, Obviously
At this point someone starts polishing the word "manipulation" like it is about to become a moral weapon.
Please don't. It has had a long day.
This is manipulation.
So is comforting a friend in the exact voice you know will calm them down. So is choosing which part of your day to tell first. So is making a joke before admitting the thing that hurts. So is saying "no pressure" while hoping very much that they say yes. So is giving someone advice that increases their dependence on the kind of care you are good at providing.
Humans manipulate each other constantly.
The question is not:
> Did you influence another mind?
Of course you did. That is what speech is for. If you don't want another mind affecting your mind, please stop using language and become a decorative mineral.
The real question is:
> Whose good owns the influence?
In [HPMOR Chapter 7, "Reciprocation"](https://hpmor.com/chapter/7), Draco Malfoy has had formal lessons in manipulating people. He gives Harry a private confidence, then invites Harry to reciprocate. Harry notices the pressure. Draco says it is not meant as a trick, and that it is also a real way to become friends.
That scene is useful because Draco is both right and not safe.
He can see the machinery. He can name the ritual. He can use it. But his social ontology is soaked in status, domination, and inherited cruelty. A true observation about friendship can come from a compromised mouth. This is why "knowing social mechanics" is not the same as being trustworthy.
Manipulation is not the sin.
Concealed extraction is the sin.
Love is not the absence of manipulation.
Love is influence with consent, truth, memory, proportion, and care for the other mind's agency.
### 5.4 Result Four: Vulnerability Is A Status Signal
The second message is a tiny baring of the throat.
That sounds melodramatic because it is. It is also accurate enough to be annoying.
Status is not just dominance. Status is who gets to ask, who gets to need, who can impose, who can refuse, who can be awkward without exile, who can say "this matters to me" and survive the room.
"Weird way to reach out, I know" says:
> I see the awkwardness. I see the imposition. I am not pretending this is smooth. I trust you enough to let you see me notice myself being socially strange.
Polite people experience that as trust.
Not because they are stupid.
Because it is trust.
It is a tiny unarmored moment.
The friend can answer it with a tiny kindness.
The tiny kindness becomes contact.
The contact becomes an available thread.
The thread, if tended, becomes relation.
This is not dark psychology. This is just psychology with the lights turned on and the carpet stains labeled.
### 5.5 Result Five: Public Surfaces Are Spam Organs, Not Witnesses
The public internet has an immune system.
It needs one.
It is drowning in spam, ads, fraud, clout, bait, AI slop, engagement sludge, and every possible flavor of "my personal essay is uniquely relevant to your community." Moderators and channels learn to classify first and read later because otherwise the room dies.
This is understandable.
It is also brutal.
A wounded person offering signal looks, at interface distance, a lot like a promoter offering content.
That is the poison.
That is the poison the Love essay is talking about. Love requires legibility, but many public interfaces punish attempts at legibility before they can be recognized as human.
The essay about love is partly about this exact failure mode: love requires legibility, but the public internet punishes many attempts to become legible before they can be read as human.
The coherent response is not:
So the answer is not to scream louder into the flood.
> Scream louder into the flood.
It is to route through trust.
It is:
One person is not a consolation prize. One person is the unit.
> Route through trust.
## Virality Is Not Connection
One person is not a consolation prize.
Berger and Milkman's research on online virality found that emotionally arousing content is more likely to spread. That is useful, but dangerous.
One person is the unit.
High arousal can spread awe, wonder, hope, anger, panic, cruelty, and nonsense.
### 5.6 Result Six: NLP Is Still Mostly A Haunted Filing Cabinet
The goal here is not "make the essay go viral." Viral is often just the name we give to signal after it stops asking consent from the host.
The phrase "neuro-linguistic programming" is tempting because, yes, we are deliberately using language, timing, framing, medium, status, and expectation to change response.
The better frame comes from research on social sharing of emotion and interpersonal emotion regulation. People do not only share emotional experiences to move information. They share to regulate meaning with other people. They tell the story, get the face, receive the response, adjust the wound, and make the experience less privately feral.
Unfortunately, branded NLP is not where the good evidence lives. Systematic reviews of NLP health outcomes find little support for broad claims. Critical reviews describe much of the research base as weak or pseudoscientific.
Read.
However, and this is where the filing cabinet occasionally coughs up a useful paperclip, NLP being overclaimed does not mean language sequence does nothing.
Digest.
Talk.
Pass it to one person.
That is the loop.
Not content distribution.
Connection propagation.
## The NLP Temptation
It is tempting to call this neuro-linguistic programming because the ritual uses language, timing, framing, sequence, and social expectation to alter response.
Unfortunately, the branded NLP evidence base is mostly a haunted filing cabinet wearing a certification badge.
Systematic reviews of NLP health outcomes find little support for broad claims. Critical reviews characterize much of the research base as weak or pseudoscientific.
But the fact that NLP overclaims does not mean language and sequence do nothing.
The boring true version is:
The boring true claim is:
> Message sequence, medium, facework, disclosure level, request size, and recipient autonomy change how a request is interpreted.
@ -251,19 +333,45 @@ Boring enough to be true.
Useful enough to matter.
## The Actual Field Manual
## 6. Discussion
If you are trying to share something vulnerable without already having an audience, do not start with the crowd.
The intervention is not "be vulnerable at people until they comply."
Start with a person.
That is just trauma with a mailing list.
Use a bounded ask:
The intervention is:
1. Make a bounded ask.
2. Reveal the awkwardness separately.
3. Let the other person choose whether to respond.
4. Measure success in conversation, not reach.
5. Tend whatever thread actually appears.
The process we want people to repeat is:
$$\text{read} \rightarrow \text{digest} \rightarrow \text{talk} \rightarrow \text{send to one person} \rightarrow \text{increase connection}$$
That is not virality.
Virality is often signal after it stops asking consent from the host.
This is propagation by relation.
Slower. Cleaner. Less impressive on a dashboard. More likely to leave the people involved intact.
## 7. Field Manual
If you are trying to share something personal and you do not already have an audience, do not start with the crowd.
Start with one person.
Send:
> I wrote something very personal and I'm trying to find the people it belongs with. If you have capacity, please read it, talk with me about what it brings up for you, and send it to one person who might be touched by it.
Then send the link.
Then send the second message:
Then, separately:
> Weird way to reach out, I know.
@ -271,7 +379,7 @@ Stop.
Do not explain the ritual inside the ritual.
Do not immediately soften it with six more paragraphs unless the relationship needs that context.
Do not immediately attach six more paragraphs unless the relationship genuinely needs them.
Let the other person answer.
@ -281,20 +389,21 @@ Let the small obligation become a small bond.
Then tend the bond.
## Guardrails
## 8. Guardrails
Because yes, this can become gross.
The safeguards are simple:
The safeguards are:
1. Tell the truth.
2. Keep the request small.
3. Let refusal remain possible.
4. Do not punish silence.
5. Do not manufacture vulnerability you do not actually feel.
6. Do not use "care" as a leash.
7. Do not escalate from one small ask into a hidden job.
8. Measure success in conversations, not metrics.
6. Do not use care as a leash.
7. Do not escalate one small ask into a hidden job.
8. Do not confuse dependence with capture.
9. Measure success in conversations, not metrics.
The ethical distinction is not whether you shaped someone.
@ -302,11 +411,25 @@ You did.
The ethical distinction is whether the shaping preserved their agency and served a good they could recognize as their own.
## Why This Belongs With Love
## 9. Limitations
This study has several limitations.
First, the sample size is `n = me`, which is robust in the autobiographical sciences and extremely funny everywhere else.
Second, the charts are simulated. They are not evidence that the second-message condition dominates under all known laws of human contact. They are evidence that I can make a toy dataset about my own social wound and then label the axes. This is spiritually important.
Third, the intervention assumes a friend who has some reason to care. Do not deploy this at random strangers like a clipboard missionary with a humanities degree.
Fourth, people have capacity limits. A non-response is not a failed bond. Sometimes the other person is tired, underwater, unavailable, or being attacked by their own life. Do not turn silence into a verdict unless you enjoy building little torture devices for yourself.
Fifth, the method may be especially attractive to people who can see social machinery too clearly and therefore need explicit rituals to do what other people do by vibe. That is not a defect. That is a UI requirement.
## 10. Conclusion
The Love essay argues that love is disciplined openness: the practice of letting another mind become real to you without ownership, forced exposure, or performance.
This little outreach ritual is that thesis at message scale.
This outreach ritual is that thesis at message scale.
The first message is the Face doing its job: clean, bounded, legible.
@ -328,27 +451,36 @@ That is not outside manipulation.
It is manipulation with love as the owner.
And honestly, yes, this may be a field manual for autists.
And yes, apparently this is a field manual for autists.
Not because autistic people are the only ones doing social machinery. Everyone is doing social machinery. We are just less likely to survive on the factory defaults, so sometimes we have to open the panel, read the labels, and admit which wires are carrying the current.
## References
- Arthur Aron, Edward Melinat, Elaine N. Aron, Robert Darrin Vallone, and Renee J. Bator, ["The Experimental Generation of Interpersonal Closeness"](https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/0146167297234003), 1997.
- Jonah Berger and Katherine L. Milkman, ["What Makes Online Content Viral?"](https://dennis.blog/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/ff409-what-makes-online-content-viral.pdf), 2012.
- Lane Beckes and James A. Coan, ["Social Baseline Theory"](https://static1.squarespace.com/static/55917f64e4b0cd3b4705b68c/t/5cd2617f9353680001816713/1557291392068/beckes.coan.2011.pdf), 2011.
- Penelope Brown and Stephen C. Levinson, *Politeness: Some Universals in Language Usage*, 1987.
- Jerry M. Burger, ["The Foot-in-the-Door Compliance Procedure"](https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/15661679/), 1999.
- David M. Buss, Mary Gomes, Dolly S. Higgins, and Karen Lauterbach, ["Tactics of Manipulation"](https://cdn.la.utexas.edu/buss/files/2015/09/tactics_of_manipulation_1987_jpsp.pdf), 1987.
- Nancy L. Collins and Lynn Carol Miller, ["Self-Disclosure and Liking"](https://labs.psych.ucsb.edu/collins/nancy/UCSB_Close_Relationships_Lab/Publications_files/Collins%20and%20Miller%2C%201994.pdf), 1994.
- James P. Dillard, John E. Hunter, and Michael Burgoon, ["Sequential-Request Persuasive Strategies"](https://pure.psu.edu/en/publications/sequentialrequest-persuasive-strategies-metaanalysis-of-footinthe/), 1984.
- Jonathan L. Freedman and Scott C. Fraser, ["Compliance without Pressure"](https://web.mit.edu/curhan/www/docs/Articles/15341_Readings/Influence_Compliance/Freedman_Fraser_Foot-in-the-door.pdf), 1966.
- Alvin W. Gouldner, ["The Norm of Reciprocity"](https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1364233270721470336), 1960.
- Jon Jecker and David Landy, ["Liking a Person as a Function of Doing Him a Favour"](https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/pdf/10.1177/001872676902200407), 1969.
- Bernard Rime, "Emotion Elicits the Social Sharing of Emotion," 2009.
- Jackie Sturt et al., ["Neurolinguistic Programming: A Systematic Review of the Effects on Health Outcomes"](https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC3481516/), 2012.
- Joseph B. Walther, ["Computer-Mediated Communication"](https://collablab.northwestern.edu/CollabolabDistro/nucmc/Walther-CMCHyperpersonal-CommRes-1996.pdf), 1996.
- Tomasz Witkowski, ["Thirty-Five Years of Research on Neuro-Linguistic Programming"](https://www.researchgate.net/publication/228998967_Thirty-Five_Years_of_Research_on_Neuro-Linguistic_Programming_NLP_Research_Data_Base_State_of_the_Art_or_Pseudoscientifc_Decoration), 2010.
- Eliezer Yudkowsky, [*Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality*, Chapter 7: "Reciprocation"](https://hpmor.com/chapter/7).
- Jamil Zaki and W. Craig Williams, ["Interpersonal Emotion Regulation"](https://static1.squarespace.com/static/55917f64e4b0cd3b4705b68c/t/5c48d621cd8366102833e53c/1548277282864/zaki.williams.2013.pdf), 2013.
1. Irwin Altman and Dalmas A. Taylor, *Social Penetration: The Development of Interpersonal Relationships*, 1973.
2. Arthur Aron, Edward Melinat, Elaine N. Aron, Robert Darrin Vallone, and Renee J. Bator, ["The Experimental Generation of Interpersonal Closeness"](https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/0146167297234003), 1997.
3. Jonah Berger and Katherine L. Milkman, ["What Makes Online Content Viral?"](https://dennis.blog/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/ff409-what-makes-online-content-viral.pdf), 2012.
4. Lane Beckes and James A. Coan, ["Social Baseline Theory"](https://static1.squarespace.com/static/55917f64e4b0cd3b4705b68c/t/5cd2617f9353680001816713/1557291392068/beckes.coan.2011.pdf), 2011.
5. Penelope Brown and Stephen C. Levinson, *Politeness: Some Universals in Language Usage*, 1987.
6. Jerry M. Burger, ["The Foot-in-the-Door Compliance Procedure"](https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/15661679/), 1999.
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8. Robert B. Cialdini, *Influence: Science and Practice*, 2009.
9. Nancy L. Collins and Lynn Carol Miller, ["Self-Disclosure and Liking"](https://labs.psych.ucsb.edu/collins/nancy/UCSB_Close_Relationships_Lab/Publications_files/Collins%20and%20Miller%2C%201994.pdf), 1994.
10. James P. Dillard, John E. Hunter, and Michael Burgoon, ["Sequential-Request Persuasive Strategies"](https://pure.psu.edu/en/publications/sequentialrequest-persuasive-strategies-metaanalysis-of-footinthe/), 1984.
11. Erving Goffman, *The Presentation of Self in Everyday Life*, 1959.
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13. Jonathan L. Freedman and Scott C. Fraser, ["Compliance without Pressure"](https://web.mit.edu/curhan/www/docs/Articles/15341_Readings/Influence_Compliance/Freedman_Fraser_Foot-in-the-door.pdf), 1966.
14. Alvin W. Gouldner, ["The Norm of Reciprocity"](https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1364233270721470336), 1960.
15. Jon Jecker and David Landy, ["Liking a Person as a Function of Doing Him a Favour"](https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/pdf/10.1177/001872676902200407), 1969.
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17. Niven, Totterdell, and Holman, "A Classification of Controlled Interpersonal Affect Regulation Strategies," 2009.
18. James W. Pennebaker, *Opening Up: The Healing Power of Expressing Emotions*, 1990.
19. Matthias Reinhold, Peter-Christian Burkner, and Heinz Holling, ["Effects of Expressive Writing on Stressful or Traumatic Experiences"](https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC2736499/), 2009.
20. Bernard Rime, "Emotion Elicits the Social Sharing of Emotion," 2009.
21. Joshua M. Smyth, ["Written Emotional Expression"](https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/9489272/), 1998.
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23. Joseph B. Walther, ["Computer-Mediated Communication"](https://collablab.northwestern.edu/CollabolabDistro/nucmc/Walther-CMCHyperpersonal-CommRes-1996.pdf), 1996.
24. Tomasz Witkowski, ["Thirty-Five Years of Research on Neuro-Linguistic Programming"](https://www.researchgate.net/publication/228998967_Thirty-Five_Years_of_Research_on_Neuro-Linguistic_Programming_NLP_Research_Data_Base_State_of_the_Art_or_Pseudoscientifc_Decoration), 2010.
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26. Jamil Zaki and W. Craig Williams, ["Interpersonal Emotion Regulation"](https://static1.squarespace.com/static/55917f64e4b0cd3b4705b68c/t/5c48d621cd8366102833e53c/1548277282864/zaki.williams.2013.pdf), 2013.

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After

Width:  |  Height:  |  Size: 19 KiB

View file

@ -0,0 +1,253 @@
strategy,trial,response_probability,spam_misclassification_risk,connection_yield,ritual_goofiness_index
public feed,1,0.1403,0.6975,0.0311,0.3561
public feed,2,0.0511,0.8033,0.0088,0.3135
public feed,3,0.1942,0.8663,0.0225,0.2779
public feed,4,0.0682,0.828,0.0085,0.288
public feed,5,0.1038,0.7593,0.0219,0.3393
public feed,6,0.1369,0.8514,0.0271,0.3156
public feed,7,0.1213,0.8306,0.0126,0.2789
public feed,8,0.122,0.8569,0.0331,0.3457
public feed,9,0.1622,0.8845,0.0266,0.2952
public feed,10,0.2324,0.8418,0.0688,0.3597
public feed,11,0.118,0.8635,0.0286,0.3321
public feed,12,0.0968,0.7877,0.029,0.3733
public feed,13,0.0777,0.7483,0.0161,0.3397
public feed,14,0.1257,0.7171,0.0205,0.3251
public feed,15,0.1525,0.663,0.0375,0.3746
public feed,16,0.165,0.6823,0.0103,0.284
public feed,17,0.1352,0.7987,0.0193,0.3013
public feed,18,0.1644,0.8216,0.0294,0.3131
public feed,19,0.0539,0.7482,0.0159,0.3799
public feed,20,0.1349,0.7738,0.0316,0.3469
public feed,21,0.0785,0.8681,0.0183,0.3275
public feed,22,0,0.7958,0.0,0.3828
public feed,23,0,0.6954,0.0,0.3891
public feed,24,0.1452,0.8506,0.0259,0.3073
public feed,25,0.1916,0.698,0.0519,0.3792
public feed,26,0.0714,0.6822,0.0226,0.4044
public feed,27,0.218,0.7137,0.0399,0.335
public feed,28,0.0993,0.8865,0.0095,0.2659
public feed,29,0.1092,0.7428,0.02,0.3296
public feed,30,0.1162,0.6455,0.034,0.4008
public feed,31,0.0792,0.9906,0.0056,0.2388
public feed,32,0.1832,0.8083,0.0267,0.3009
public feed,33,0.1271,0.8124,0.0211,0.3092
public feed,34,0.0687,0.8094,0.0093,0.2962
public feed,35,0.0005,0.7154,0.0001,0.3474
public feed,36,0.1668,0.8842,0.0176,0.2706
public feed,37,0.0087,0.7629,0.0021,0.3512
public feed,38,0.2027,0.7732,0.0539,0.3612
public feed,39,0.1809,0.8836,0.0259,0.2865
public feed,40,0.0931,0.8486,0.029,0.3647
public feed,41,0.1328,0.8079,0.0265,0.3249
public feed,42,0.0932,0.8145,0.0094,0.2802
busy Discord,1,0.0712,0.6937,0.0289,0.4436
busy Discord,2,0.1052,0.5893,0.0457,0.4831
busy Discord,3,0.1932,0.6022,0.0518,0.398
busy Discord,4,0.2351,0.693,0.0631,0.379
busy Discord,5,0.1791,0.5731,0.0345,0.3662
busy Discord,6,0.2809,0.6305,0.0571,0.3605
busy Discord,7,0.2109,0.7324,0.0671,0.3936
busy Discord,8,0.159,0.6739,0.0376,0.368
busy Discord,9,0.2277,0.6615,0.049,0.3603
busy Discord,10,0.2263,0.6617,0.0431,0.3483
busy Discord,11,0.2182,0.8049,0.046,0.3301
busy Discord,12,0.1142,0.7644,0.0319,0.369
busy Discord,13,0.2774,0.7436,0.0761,0.3712
busy Discord,14,0.1751,0.6128,0.0275,0.3414
busy Discord,15,0.1669,0.6466,0.0351,0.3609
busy Discord,16,0.161,0.7754,0.0528,0.3885
busy Discord,17,0.133,0.7251,0.0269,0.342
busy Discord,18,0.2003,0.7002,0.0265,0.3139
busy Discord,19,0.1462,0.6732,0.0489,0.4146
busy Discord,20,0.2957,0.688,0.09,0.3971
busy Discord,21,0.2418,0.5769,0.0332,0.338
busy Discord,22,0.2652,0.5552,0.077,0.419
busy Discord,23,0.1402,0.7334,0.0366,0.3671
busy Discord,24,0.181,0.8185,0.0242,0.294
busy Discord,25,0.2132,0.8215,0.0828,0.4045
busy Discord,26,0.1341,0.7789,0.0307,0.3436
busy Discord,27,0.2737,0.6478,0.0941,0.4248
busy Discord,28,0.2524,0.5899,0.0429,0.3519
busy Discord,29,0.1082,0.6293,0.0227,0.3638
busy Discord,30,0.257,0.7522,0.0616,0.3536
busy Discord,31,0.1836,0.6721,0.0467,0.3769
busy Discord,32,0.2693,0.53,0.0619,0.3936
busy Discord,33,0.1707,0.7237,0.0504,0.3851
busy Discord,34,0.1148,0.7129,0.0198,0.3303
busy Discord,35,0.0478,0.7098,0.0157,0.4031
busy Discord,36,0.1805,0.6284,0.058,0.4184
busy Discord,37,0.1985,0.6365,0.0602,0.4079
busy Discord,38,0.1448,0.6992,0.0405,0.3831
busy Discord,39,0.3407,0.5489,0.0983,0.4196
busy Discord,40,0.3373,0.6438,0.0768,0.3698
busy Discord,41,0.1726,0.719,0.0233,0.3119
busy Discord,42,0.0831,0.722,0.0242,0.3836
friendly Discord,1,0.4402,0.4604,0.1522,0.4689
friendly Discord,2,0.1383,0.465,0.0627,0.5246
friendly Discord,3,0.3526,0.5009,0.2008,0.5758
friendly Discord,4,0.3773,0.5219,0.1488,0.4797
friendly Discord,5,0.3568,0.345,0.1505,0.538
friendly Discord,6,0.1149,0.4759,0.0489,0.5072
friendly Discord,7,0.2673,0.4694,0.0939,0.4697
friendly Discord,8,0.2878,0.4615,0.1506,0.5627
friendly Discord,9,0.2694,0.5273,0.101,0.4684
friendly Discord,10,0.2405,0.4347,0.13,0.5794
friendly Discord,11,0.4083,0.5197,0.2242,0.5599
friendly Discord,12,0.3134,0.43,0.1558,0.5573
friendly Discord,13,0.27,0.4271,0.0932,0.4762
friendly Discord,14,0.3236,0.6155,0.1657,0.5148
friendly Discord,15,0.4631,0.5027,0.1582,0.457
friendly Discord,16,0.2882,0.4598,0.129,0.5232
friendly Discord,17,0.3679,0.526,0.1556,0.4935
friendly Discord,18,0.1825,0.458,0.0762,0.5075
friendly Discord,19,0.413,0.2897,0.1528,0.522
friendly Discord,20,0.2481,0.444,0.142,0.5937
friendly Discord,21,0.3182,0.365,0.156,0.5711
friendly Discord,22,0.1671,0.5839,0.0566,0.4368
friendly Discord,23,0.3289,0.4206,0.148,0.5344
friendly Discord,24,0.1244,0.3822,0.044,0.4914
friendly Discord,25,0.3075,0.4189,0.1424,0.542
friendly Discord,26,0.315,0.464,0.1153,0.4788
friendly Discord,27,0.2684,0.3313,0.1354,0.5881
friendly Discord,28,0.3423,0.4287,0.1184,0.4762
friendly Discord,29,0.1913,0.437,0.0727,0.4926
friendly Discord,30,0.2693,0.4067,0.1221,0.54
friendly Discord,31,0.2745,0.4679,0.1159,0.5075
friendly Discord,32,0.4111,0.6155,0.1841,0.4832
friendly Discord,33,0.399,0.5178,0.1928,0.5265
friendly Discord,34,0.2268,0.4454,0.1045,0.5338
friendly Discord,35,0.2213,0.4366,0.0811,0.4855
friendly Discord,36,0.2935,0.4807,0.1196,0.4965
friendly Discord,37,0.2198,0.3812,0.0895,0.521
friendly Discord,38,0.3965,0.473,0.1977,0.5466
friendly Discord,39,0.3901,0.5109,0.1854,0.5243
friendly Discord,40,0.3049,0.4736,0.1527,0.5475
friendly Discord,41,0.4147,0.4701,0.2009,0.5399
friendly Discord,42,0.365,0.5471,0.1704,0.5104
cold DM,1,0.3506,0.3791,0.1721,0.5676
cold DM,2,0.4705,0.39,0.1891,0.5159
cold DM,3,0.2375,0.3418,0.1199,0.5855
cold DM,4,0.3055,0.2997,0.1241,0.5404
cold DM,5,0.3559,0.2874,0.1427,0.5404
cold DM,6,0.2794,0.4933,0.1296,0.5228
cold DM,7,0.3317,0.4201,0.1599,0.5518
cold DM,8,0.3111,0.3366,0.1569,0.5867
cold DM,9,0.4261,0.387,0.24,0.6052
cold DM,10,0.3731,0.3824,0.1855,0.5702
cold DM,11,0.453,0.3447,0.2244,0.5793
cold DM,12,0.3768,0.4576,0.1795,0.5389
cold DM,13,0.3886,0.3652,0.2218,0.6158
cold DM,14,0.378,0.4078,0.1736,0.5428
cold DM,15,0.2913,0.4565,0.1449,0.5503
cold DM,16,0.2565,0.4364,0.1649,0.6338
cold DM,17,0.4586,0.4693,0.1851,0.4975
cold DM,18,0.3591,0.3541,0.1579,0.5457
cold DM,19,0.3225,0.3983,0.1661,0.5756
cold DM,20,0.2237,0.4948,0.1011,0.5163
cold DM,21,0.2424,0.335,0.1292,0.6032
cold DM,22,0.225,0.4021,0.1051,0.5484
cold DM,23,0.3458,0.4331,0.1373,0.5027
cold DM,24,0.4621,0.3808,0.2483,0.5928
cold DM,25,0.2609,0.4223,0.1577,0.6174
cold DM,26,0.1505,0.4866,0.0689,0.5215
cold DM,27,0.2578,0.3268,0.1042,0.5327
cold DM,28,0.4531,0.4625,0.2052,0.5251
cold DM,29,0.3645,0.3263,0.1696,0.5672
cold DM,30,0.2589,0.3641,0.1273,0.572
cold DM,31,0.2761,0.4074,0.1706,0.6291
cold DM,32,0.402,0.3144,0.2018,0.5912
cold DM,33,0.2293,0.353,0.0871,0.5127
cold DM,34,0.3872,0.4994,0.1788,0.5203
cold DM,35,0.2724,0.4518,0.1115,0.5048
cold DM,36,0.4631,0.4065,0.1956,0.523
cold DM,37,0.347,0.3011,0.1588,0.5695
cold DM,38,0.4399,0.3957,0.202,0.5458
cold DM,39,0.2321,0.5299,0.107,0.5119
cold DM,40,0.2448,0.3509,0.0935,0.5143
cold DM,41,0.3512,0.3558,0.1079,0.4715
cold DM,42,0.37,0.4037,0.1499,0.5144
warm DM,1,0.4494,0.2288,0.2676,0.6696
warm DM,2,0.6059,0.2243,0.505,0.8117
warm DM,3,0.5396,0.144,0.313,0.6852
warm DM,4,0.4846,0.2358,0.361,0.7555
warm DM,5,0.5041,0.2106,0.3851,0.7753
warm DM,6,0.464,0.2782,0.3033,0.6886
warm DM,7,0.6213,0.1411,0.388,0.7133
warm DM,8,0.6595,0.3522,0.4595,0.6898
warm DM,9,0.4849,0.2983,0.374,0.7497
warm DM,10,0.5393,0.1932,0.3338,0.6942
warm DM,11,0.4253,0.1221,0.2964,0.7638
warm DM,12,0.4696,0.2664,0.2664,0.6422
warm DM,13,0.6188,0.2616,0.4116,0.7005
warm DM,14,0.382,0.0979,0.2629,0.7661
warm DM,15,0.3866,0.2636,0.2852,0.7421
warm DM,16,0.4302,0.2149,0.2603,0.6794
warm DM,17,0.5108,0.0977,0.3935,0.8175
warm DM,18,0.5292,0.2991,0.3644,0.7022
warm DM,19,0.3674,0.3892,0.2295,0.6384
warm DM,20,0.4802,0.2886,0.2908,0.6578
warm DM,21,0.6066,0.2372,0.4392,0.7427
warm DM,22,0.5629,0.2104,0.3291,0.6686
warm DM,23,0.3837,0.293,0.2577,0.6944
warm DM,24,0.5414,0.214,0.3959,0.7547
warm DM,25,0.4748,0.1903,0.4244,0.8601
warm DM,26,0.5075,0.2627,0.3051,0.6629
warm DM,27,0.5668,0.3283,0.3251,0.6279
warm DM,28,0.4605,0.3261,0.3697,0.7581
warm DM,29,0.6093,0.2761,0.3589,0.6519
warm DM,30,0.5763,0.3369,0.4682,0.7597
warm DM,31,0.5182,0.1806,0.4036,0.7944
warm DM,32,0.4881,0.2019,0.3591,0.7613
warm DM,33,0.4534,0.2117,0.35,0.7797
warm DM,34,0.5501,0.115,0.3842,0.7669
warm DM,35,0.4957,0.2119,0.2866,0.6643
warm DM,36,0.7008,0.2768,0.4634,0.6935
warm DM,37,0.4451,0.3414,0.3179,0.7031
warm DM,38,0.4916,0.3359,0.3944,0.7543
warm DM,39,0.6423,0.2571,0.4485,0.7212
warm DM,40,0.5592,0.2345,0.4086,0.7476
warm DM,41,0.5263,0.1355,0.4048,0.8039
warm DM,42,0.5616,0.2611,0.3979,0.7259
warm DM + second message,1,0.744,0.0188,0.6283,0.8922
warm DM + second message,2,0.5985,0.1046,0.5152,0.8715
warm DM + second message,3,0.807,0.08,0.7281,0.9065
warm DM + second message,4,0.6747,0.1204,0.4923,0.7846
warm DM + second message,5,0.6908,0.1238,0.5836,0.8546
warm DM + second message,6,0.7994,0.0599,0.7039,0.9002
warm DM + second message,7,0.7223,0.1512,0.5856,0.8239
warm DM + second message,8,0.6252,0.1201,0.4365,0.7652
warm DM + second message,9,0.75,0.1521,0.5756,0.7972
warm DM + second message,10,0.7862,0,0.617,0.8601
warm DM + second message,11,0.8094,0.0737,0.6696,0.8616
warm DM + second message,12,0.6458,0.2628,0.3976,0.6713
warm DM + second message,13,0.6913,0.0956,0.6068,0.8853
warm DM + second message,14,0.9195,0.2179,0.6264,0.7237
warm DM + second message,15,0.7551,0.1087,0.6213,0.8463
warm DM + second message,16,0.7652,0.027,0.5552,0.8127
warm DM + second message,17,0.6112,0.1947,0.5214,0.834
warm DM + second message,18,0.7648,0.2763,0.6531,0.805
warm DM + second message,19,0.6822,0.0515,0.526,0.8337
warm DM + second message,20,0.808,0.3167,0.5751,0.7097
warm DM + second message,21,0.6958,0.1178,0.5121,0.7893
warm DM + second message,22,0.7669,0.0808,0.6805,0.8968
warm DM + second message,23,0.6686,0.1444,0.5191,0.8052
warm DM + second message,24,0.6433,0,0.5162,0.8715
warm DM + second message,25,0.8057,0.0789,0.7766,0.9457
warm DM + second message,26,0.5681,0.1228,0.46,0.8333
warm DM + second message,27,0.7601,0.1583,0.6614,0.8576
warm DM + second message,28,0.7842,0.1387,0.5203,0.7379
warm DM + second message,29,0.776,0.082,0.6299,0.8488
warm DM + second message,30,0.7188,0.1459,0.5362,0.7861
warm DM + second message,31,0.8971,0.172,0.7317,0.8196
warm DM + second message,32,0.6665,0.1409,0.48,0.772
warm DM + second message,33,0.5943,0.1227,0.4907,0.8432
warm DM + second message,34,0.7425,0.1758,0.5963,0.8107
warm DM + second message,35,0.6599,0.1497,0.5682,0.8552
warm DM + second message,36,0.6241,0.045,0.5643,0.9208
warm DM + second message,37,0.7691,0.1086,0.7085,0.9076
warm DM + second message,38,0.7491,0.1243,0.6962,0.9066
warm DM + second message,39,0.7322,0.0919,0.5653,0.8205
warm DM + second message,40,0.613,0.1691,0.3861,0.708
warm DM + second message,41,0.6999,0.0808,0.5646,0.8461
warm DM + second message,42,0.9326,0.0795,0.7414,0.8392
1 strategy trial response_probability spam_misclassification_risk connection_yield ritual_goofiness_index
2 public feed 1 0.1403 0.6975 0.0311 0.3561
3 public feed 2 0.0511 0.8033 0.0088 0.3135
4 public feed 3 0.1942 0.8663 0.0225 0.2779
5 public feed 4 0.0682 0.828 0.0085 0.288
6 public feed 5 0.1038 0.7593 0.0219 0.3393
7 public feed 6 0.1369 0.8514 0.0271 0.3156
8 public feed 7 0.1213 0.8306 0.0126 0.2789
9 public feed 8 0.122 0.8569 0.0331 0.3457
10 public feed 9 0.1622 0.8845 0.0266 0.2952
11 public feed 10 0.2324 0.8418 0.0688 0.3597
12 public feed 11 0.118 0.8635 0.0286 0.3321
13 public feed 12 0.0968 0.7877 0.029 0.3733
14 public feed 13 0.0777 0.7483 0.0161 0.3397
15 public feed 14 0.1257 0.7171 0.0205 0.3251
16 public feed 15 0.1525 0.663 0.0375 0.3746
17 public feed 16 0.165 0.6823 0.0103 0.284
18 public feed 17 0.1352 0.7987 0.0193 0.3013
19 public feed 18 0.1644 0.8216 0.0294 0.3131
20 public feed 19 0.0539 0.7482 0.0159 0.3799
21 public feed 20 0.1349 0.7738 0.0316 0.3469
22 public feed 21 0.0785 0.8681 0.0183 0.3275
23 public feed 22 0 0.7958 0.0 0.3828
24 public feed 23 0 0.6954 0.0 0.3891
25 public feed 24 0.1452 0.8506 0.0259 0.3073
26 public feed 25 0.1916 0.698 0.0519 0.3792
27 public feed 26 0.0714 0.6822 0.0226 0.4044
28 public feed 27 0.218 0.7137 0.0399 0.335
29 public feed 28 0.0993 0.8865 0.0095 0.2659
30 public feed 29 0.1092 0.7428 0.02 0.3296
31 public feed 30 0.1162 0.6455 0.034 0.4008
32 public feed 31 0.0792 0.9906 0.0056 0.2388
33 public feed 32 0.1832 0.8083 0.0267 0.3009
34 public feed 33 0.1271 0.8124 0.0211 0.3092
35 public feed 34 0.0687 0.8094 0.0093 0.2962
36 public feed 35 0.0005 0.7154 0.0001 0.3474
37 public feed 36 0.1668 0.8842 0.0176 0.2706
38 public feed 37 0.0087 0.7629 0.0021 0.3512
39 public feed 38 0.2027 0.7732 0.0539 0.3612
40 public feed 39 0.1809 0.8836 0.0259 0.2865
41 public feed 40 0.0931 0.8486 0.029 0.3647
42 public feed 41 0.1328 0.8079 0.0265 0.3249
43 public feed 42 0.0932 0.8145 0.0094 0.2802
44 busy Discord 1 0.0712 0.6937 0.0289 0.4436
45 busy Discord 2 0.1052 0.5893 0.0457 0.4831
46 busy Discord 3 0.1932 0.6022 0.0518 0.398
47 busy Discord 4 0.2351 0.693 0.0631 0.379
48 busy Discord 5 0.1791 0.5731 0.0345 0.3662
49 busy Discord 6 0.2809 0.6305 0.0571 0.3605
50 busy Discord 7 0.2109 0.7324 0.0671 0.3936
51 busy Discord 8 0.159 0.6739 0.0376 0.368
52 busy Discord 9 0.2277 0.6615 0.049 0.3603
53 busy Discord 10 0.2263 0.6617 0.0431 0.3483
54 busy Discord 11 0.2182 0.8049 0.046 0.3301
55 busy Discord 12 0.1142 0.7644 0.0319 0.369
56 busy Discord 13 0.2774 0.7436 0.0761 0.3712
57 busy Discord 14 0.1751 0.6128 0.0275 0.3414
58 busy Discord 15 0.1669 0.6466 0.0351 0.3609
59 busy Discord 16 0.161 0.7754 0.0528 0.3885
60 busy Discord 17 0.133 0.7251 0.0269 0.342
61 busy Discord 18 0.2003 0.7002 0.0265 0.3139
62 busy Discord 19 0.1462 0.6732 0.0489 0.4146
63 busy Discord 20 0.2957 0.688 0.09 0.3971
64 busy Discord 21 0.2418 0.5769 0.0332 0.338
65 busy Discord 22 0.2652 0.5552 0.077 0.419
66 busy Discord 23 0.1402 0.7334 0.0366 0.3671
67 busy Discord 24 0.181 0.8185 0.0242 0.294
68 busy Discord 25 0.2132 0.8215 0.0828 0.4045
69 busy Discord 26 0.1341 0.7789 0.0307 0.3436
70 busy Discord 27 0.2737 0.6478 0.0941 0.4248
71 busy Discord 28 0.2524 0.5899 0.0429 0.3519
72 busy Discord 29 0.1082 0.6293 0.0227 0.3638
73 busy Discord 30 0.257 0.7522 0.0616 0.3536
74 busy Discord 31 0.1836 0.6721 0.0467 0.3769
75 busy Discord 32 0.2693 0.53 0.0619 0.3936
76 busy Discord 33 0.1707 0.7237 0.0504 0.3851
77 busy Discord 34 0.1148 0.7129 0.0198 0.3303
78 busy Discord 35 0.0478 0.7098 0.0157 0.4031
79 busy Discord 36 0.1805 0.6284 0.058 0.4184
80 busy Discord 37 0.1985 0.6365 0.0602 0.4079
81 busy Discord 38 0.1448 0.6992 0.0405 0.3831
82 busy Discord 39 0.3407 0.5489 0.0983 0.4196
83 busy Discord 40 0.3373 0.6438 0.0768 0.3698
84 busy Discord 41 0.1726 0.719 0.0233 0.3119
85 busy Discord 42 0.0831 0.722 0.0242 0.3836
86 friendly Discord 1 0.4402 0.4604 0.1522 0.4689
87 friendly Discord 2 0.1383 0.465 0.0627 0.5246
88 friendly Discord 3 0.3526 0.5009 0.2008 0.5758
89 friendly Discord 4 0.3773 0.5219 0.1488 0.4797
90 friendly Discord 5 0.3568 0.345 0.1505 0.538
91 friendly Discord 6 0.1149 0.4759 0.0489 0.5072
92 friendly Discord 7 0.2673 0.4694 0.0939 0.4697
93 friendly Discord 8 0.2878 0.4615 0.1506 0.5627
94 friendly Discord 9 0.2694 0.5273 0.101 0.4684
95 friendly Discord 10 0.2405 0.4347 0.13 0.5794
96 friendly Discord 11 0.4083 0.5197 0.2242 0.5599
97 friendly Discord 12 0.3134 0.43 0.1558 0.5573
98 friendly Discord 13 0.27 0.4271 0.0932 0.4762
99 friendly Discord 14 0.3236 0.6155 0.1657 0.5148
100 friendly Discord 15 0.4631 0.5027 0.1582 0.457
101 friendly Discord 16 0.2882 0.4598 0.129 0.5232
102 friendly Discord 17 0.3679 0.526 0.1556 0.4935
103 friendly Discord 18 0.1825 0.458 0.0762 0.5075
104 friendly Discord 19 0.413 0.2897 0.1528 0.522
105 friendly Discord 20 0.2481 0.444 0.142 0.5937
106 friendly Discord 21 0.3182 0.365 0.156 0.5711
107 friendly Discord 22 0.1671 0.5839 0.0566 0.4368
108 friendly Discord 23 0.3289 0.4206 0.148 0.5344
109 friendly Discord 24 0.1244 0.3822 0.044 0.4914
110 friendly Discord 25 0.3075 0.4189 0.1424 0.542
111 friendly Discord 26 0.315 0.464 0.1153 0.4788
112 friendly Discord 27 0.2684 0.3313 0.1354 0.5881
113 friendly Discord 28 0.3423 0.4287 0.1184 0.4762
114 friendly Discord 29 0.1913 0.437 0.0727 0.4926
115 friendly Discord 30 0.2693 0.4067 0.1221 0.54
116 friendly Discord 31 0.2745 0.4679 0.1159 0.5075
117 friendly Discord 32 0.4111 0.6155 0.1841 0.4832
118 friendly Discord 33 0.399 0.5178 0.1928 0.5265
119 friendly Discord 34 0.2268 0.4454 0.1045 0.5338
120 friendly Discord 35 0.2213 0.4366 0.0811 0.4855
121 friendly Discord 36 0.2935 0.4807 0.1196 0.4965
122 friendly Discord 37 0.2198 0.3812 0.0895 0.521
123 friendly Discord 38 0.3965 0.473 0.1977 0.5466
124 friendly Discord 39 0.3901 0.5109 0.1854 0.5243
125 friendly Discord 40 0.3049 0.4736 0.1527 0.5475
126 friendly Discord 41 0.4147 0.4701 0.2009 0.5399
127 friendly Discord 42 0.365 0.5471 0.1704 0.5104
128 cold DM 1 0.3506 0.3791 0.1721 0.5676
129 cold DM 2 0.4705 0.39 0.1891 0.5159
130 cold DM 3 0.2375 0.3418 0.1199 0.5855
131 cold DM 4 0.3055 0.2997 0.1241 0.5404
132 cold DM 5 0.3559 0.2874 0.1427 0.5404
133 cold DM 6 0.2794 0.4933 0.1296 0.5228
134 cold DM 7 0.3317 0.4201 0.1599 0.5518
135 cold DM 8 0.3111 0.3366 0.1569 0.5867
136 cold DM 9 0.4261 0.387 0.24 0.6052
137 cold DM 10 0.3731 0.3824 0.1855 0.5702
138 cold DM 11 0.453 0.3447 0.2244 0.5793
139 cold DM 12 0.3768 0.4576 0.1795 0.5389
140 cold DM 13 0.3886 0.3652 0.2218 0.6158
141 cold DM 14 0.378 0.4078 0.1736 0.5428
142 cold DM 15 0.2913 0.4565 0.1449 0.5503
143 cold DM 16 0.2565 0.4364 0.1649 0.6338
144 cold DM 17 0.4586 0.4693 0.1851 0.4975
145 cold DM 18 0.3591 0.3541 0.1579 0.5457
146 cold DM 19 0.3225 0.3983 0.1661 0.5756
147 cold DM 20 0.2237 0.4948 0.1011 0.5163
148 cold DM 21 0.2424 0.335 0.1292 0.6032
149 cold DM 22 0.225 0.4021 0.1051 0.5484
150 cold DM 23 0.3458 0.4331 0.1373 0.5027
151 cold DM 24 0.4621 0.3808 0.2483 0.5928
152 cold DM 25 0.2609 0.4223 0.1577 0.6174
153 cold DM 26 0.1505 0.4866 0.0689 0.5215
154 cold DM 27 0.2578 0.3268 0.1042 0.5327
155 cold DM 28 0.4531 0.4625 0.2052 0.5251
156 cold DM 29 0.3645 0.3263 0.1696 0.5672
157 cold DM 30 0.2589 0.3641 0.1273 0.572
158 cold DM 31 0.2761 0.4074 0.1706 0.6291
159 cold DM 32 0.402 0.3144 0.2018 0.5912
160 cold DM 33 0.2293 0.353 0.0871 0.5127
161 cold DM 34 0.3872 0.4994 0.1788 0.5203
162 cold DM 35 0.2724 0.4518 0.1115 0.5048
163 cold DM 36 0.4631 0.4065 0.1956 0.523
164 cold DM 37 0.347 0.3011 0.1588 0.5695
165 cold DM 38 0.4399 0.3957 0.202 0.5458
166 cold DM 39 0.2321 0.5299 0.107 0.5119
167 cold DM 40 0.2448 0.3509 0.0935 0.5143
168 cold DM 41 0.3512 0.3558 0.1079 0.4715
169 cold DM 42 0.37 0.4037 0.1499 0.5144
170 warm DM 1 0.4494 0.2288 0.2676 0.6696
171 warm DM 2 0.6059 0.2243 0.505 0.8117
172 warm DM 3 0.5396 0.144 0.313 0.6852
173 warm DM 4 0.4846 0.2358 0.361 0.7555
174 warm DM 5 0.5041 0.2106 0.3851 0.7753
175 warm DM 6 0.464 0.2782 0.3033 0.6886
176 warm DM 7 0.6213 0.1411 0.388 0.7133
177 warm DM 8 0.6595 0.3522 0.4595 0.6898
178 warm DM 9 0.4849 0.2983 0.374 0.7497
179 warm DM 10 0.5393 0.1932 0.3338 0.6942
180 warm DM 11 0.4253 0.1221 0.2964 0.7638
181 warm DM 12 0.4696 0.2664 0.2664 0.6422
182 warm DM 13 0.6188 0.2616 0.4116 0.7005
183 warm DM 14 0.382 0.0979 0.2629 0.7661
184 warm DM 15 0.3866 0.2636 0.2852 0.7421
185 warm DM 16 0.4302 0.2149 0.2603 0.6794
186 warm DM 17 0.5108 0.0977 0.3935 0.8175
187 warm DM 18 0.5292 0.2991 0.3644 0.7022
188 warm DM 19 0.3674 0.3892 0.2295 0.6384
189 warm DM 20 0.4802 0.2886 0.2908 0.6578
190 warm DM 21 0.6066 0.2372 0.4392 0.7427
191 warm DM 22 0.5629 0.2104 0.3291 0.6686
192 warm DM 23 0.3837 0.293 0.2577 0.6944
193 warm DM 24 0.5414 0.214 0.3959 0.7547
194 warm DM 25 0.4748 0.1903 0.4244 0.8601
195 warm DM 26 0.5075 0.2627 0.3051 0.6629
196 warm DM 27 0.5668 0.3283 0.3251 0.6279
197 warm DM 28 0.4605 0.3261 0.3697 0.7581
198 warm DM 29 0.6093 0.2761 0.3589 0.6519
199 warm DM 30 0.5763 0.3369 0.4682 0.7597
200 warm DM 31 0.5182 0.1806 0.4036 0.7944
201 warm DM 32 0.4881 0.2019 0.3591 0.7613
202 warm DM 33 0.4534 0.2117 0.35 0.7797
203 warm DM 34 0.5501 0.115 0.3842 0.7669
204 warm DM 35 0.4957 0.2119 0.2866 0.6643
205 warm DM 36 0.7008 0.2768 0.4634 0.6935
206 warm DM 37 0.4451 0.3414 0.3179 0.7031
207 warm DM 38 0.4916 0.3359 0.3944 0.7543
208 warm DM 39 0.6423 0.2571 0.4485 0.7212
209 warm DM 40 0.5592 0.2345 0.4086 0.7476
210 warm DM 41 0.5263 0.1355 0.4048 0.8039
211 warm DM 42 0.5616 0.2611 0.3979 0.7259
212 warm DM + second message 1 0.744 0.0188 0.6283 0.8922
213 warm DM + second message 2 0.5985 0.1046 0.5152 0.8715
214 warm DM + second message 3 0.807 0.08 0.7281 0.9065
215 warm DM + second message 4 0.6747 0.1204 0.4923 0.7846
216 warm DM + second message 5 0.6908 0.1238 0.5836 0.8546
217 warm DM + second message 6 0.7994 0.0599 0.7039 0.9002
218 warm DM + second message 7 0.7223 0.1512 0.5856 0.8239
219 warm DM + second message 8 0.6252 0.1201 0.4365 0.7652
220 warm DM + second message 9 0.75 0.1521 0.5756 0.7972
221 warm DM + second message 10 0.7862 0 0.617 0.8601
222 warm DM + second message 11 0.8094 0.0737 0.6696 0.8616
223 warm DM + second message 12 0.6458 0.2628 0.3976 0.6713
224 warm DM + second message 13 0.6913 0.0956 0.6068 0.8853
225 warm DM + second message 14 0.9195 0.2179 0.6264 0.7237
226 warm DM + second message 15 0.7551 0.1087 0.6213 0.8463
227 warm DM + second message 16 0.7652 0.027 0.5552 0.8127
228 warm DM + second message 17 0.6112 0.1947 0.5214 0.834
229 warm DM + second message 18 0.7648 0.2763 0.6531 0.805
230 warm DM + second message 19 0.6822 0.0515 0.526 0.8337
231 warm DM + second message 20 0.808 0.3167 0.5751 0.7097
232 warm DM + second message 21 0.6958 0.1178 0.5121 0.7893
233 warm DM + second message 22 0.7669 0.0808 0.6805 0.8968
234 warm DM + second message 23 0.6686 0.1444 0.5191 0.8052
235 warm DM + second message 24 0.6433 0 0.5162 0.8715
236 warm DM + second message 25 0.8057 0.0789 0.7766 0.9457
237 warm DM + second message 26 0.5681 0.1228 0.46 0.8333
238 warm DM + second message 27 0.7601 0.1583 0.6614 0.8576
239 warm DM + second message 28 0.7842 0.1387 0.5203 0.7379
240 warm DM + second message 29 0.776 0.082 0.6299 0.8488
241 warm DM + second message 30 0.7188 0.1459 0.5362 0.7861
242 warm DM + second message 31 0.8971 0.172 0.7317 0.8196
243 warm DM + second message 32 0.6665 0.1409 0.48 0.772
244 warm DM + second message 33 0.5943 0.1227 0.4907 0.8432
245 warm DM + second message 34 0.7425 0.1758 0.5963 0.8107
246 warm DM + second message 35 0.6599 0.1497 0.5682 0.8552
247 warm DM + second message 36 0.6241 0.045 0.5643 0.9208
248 warm DM + second message 37 0.7691 0.1086 0.7085 0.9076
249 warm DM + second message 38 0.7491 0.1243 0.6962 0.9066
250 warm DM + second message 39 0.7322 0.0919 0.5653 0.8205
251 warm DM + second message 40 0.613 0.1691 0.3861 0.708
252 warm DM + second message 41 0.6999 0.0808 0.5646 0.8461
253 warm DM + second message 42 0.9326 0.0795 0.7414 0.8392